I detect something of a trend here…

On the heels of the results of a poll  conducted for an released by Rep. Chris Gibson’s campaign this morning that shows the freshman Republican leading his Democratic challenger comes another poll from another GOP congressional candidate that claims he’s far ahead of his Democratic target.

This time, the candidate in question is Republican businessman Randy Altschuler, who is making his second attempt at unseating Rep. Tim Bishop in NY-1. The poll, conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, found Altschuler leading Bishop 47-43, with 4 percent of voters saying they would prefer “some other candidate” and 6 percent unsure.

This survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted in a single day – July 29 – and has a 3 percent margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.

NOTE: Although the GOP does have an enrollment edge in the district, (130,411 to 155,713, as of April of this year, according to the state Board of Elections), President Obama easily defeated Sen. John McCain in 2008 in Suffolk County by about 52-47. The large lead this poll shows Mitt Romney enjoying in the dsitrict over Obama does strain credulity just a tad.

Altschuler, who came within several hundred votes of defeating Bishop in 2010, included the poll memo (again, absent any crosstabs) in a fund-raising appeal emailed to supporters shortly afternoon in which he pronounced “career politician Tim Bishop” to be “in big trouble.”

“If we are going to change Congress, we need to defeat career politicians like Tim Bishop who have created the economic and fiscal problems we’re now facing, while putting their own self-interests over the interests of the people they are supposed to represent,” Altschuler wrote.

UPDATE: DCCC spokesman Josh Scherwin sent over the following comment:

“It looks like Randy Altschuler either made up numbers or just surveyed people who he helped get jobs in India. This poll isn’t remotely based in reality. On a side note, even in Altschuler’s alternate universe Bishop’s approval is at 50.”

UPDATE2: Bishop’s campaign notes Pulse Opinion Research, a subsidiary of Rasmussen, didn’t have much of an accuracy track record in 2010 and, according to the NYT’s Nate Silver, exhibited a “considerable bias toward Republican candidates.”

Altschuler’s campaign filings reveal he has paid McLaughlin & Associates $53,740 for polling since July 2011 – including $$16,751 for one conducted in April of this year. The campaign hasn’t released any of those poll results to date.

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