When it comes to achieving their first statewide victory in 14 years, Republicans are looking north — to upstate with the hope voters there will put their candidates over the top.

“That’s the whole election — upstate turnout,” said the party’s 2010 nominee, Carl Paladino. “We’ve got to turnout an extraordinary turn out in upstate New York. Believe me, with the SAFE Act, this guy has no idea what he was doing when he went out and did that.”

The GOP this year is banking on a large upstate turn out, counting on anger over Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s 2013 gun control law known as the SAFE Act, as well his the delay on making a decision over hydrofracking, as key issues that will bring voters outside of New York City to the polls.

“I have seen just an unprecedented amount of people inspired by the New York SAFE Act’s passage and why they need to get involved,” said Erie County GOP Chairman Nick Langworthy. “For the first time ever, we have a record number of committeemen, new registration. Activity is going on here that’s going to help this ticket.”

There’s not a firm guarantee that winning upstate will ultimately help GOP candidates running statewide. After all, Paladino handily won western New York, but was still defeated by Democrat Andrew Cuomo.

“We delivered a big vote,” Langworthy said. “Obviously, it wasn’t good enough.”

Since losing western New York counties, Cuomo has lavished attention on the Buffalo area, taking a keen interest in keeping the Bills football team there.

The other factor is keeping downstate turn out low — especially in Democratic-dominated New York City, and hope the suburban counties run close.

“You don’t usually see high turnout in these elections so upstate becomes critical I think the Hudson Valley and Long Island have really become a battleground and you’re going to see a lot of attention there,” said Dutchess County Executive Marcus Molinaro.

And Republicans are praising the ticket balancing of downstate Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino picking Chemung County Sheriff Christopher Moss as his running mate.

“Having someone from upstate rural New York where the economy has been hurt so badly brings a breath of experience that is too often lacking in Albany,” former Gov. George Pataki said.

Cuomo, of course, is expected to campaign heavily in Westchester and on Long Island, key suburban counties in nearly every statewide election.