Zack Fink

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Posts by Zack Fink

Heastie Looking for an Ally in ( Money Earnin’ ) Mount Vernon

Although it’s a crowded field to replace Senator Ruth Hassell-Thompson, one candidate would seem to have an early edge and that is Jamaal Bailey, who currently works for Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie as Community Relations Director in the Bronx district office. Bailey will actually be off the payroll officially on July 8th, as he prepares to run full time for the Senate seat. Hassell-Thompson announced in April that she was leaving the Senate this month to take a job with the Cuomo Administration.

Interestingly enough, the bulk of the 36th Senate District, which is expected to stay in the Democratic column, is located in the Bronx, roughly 86%. However, it also includes the City of Mount Vernon which makes up the remainder of the District. Bailey first interned for Heastie 12 years ago when he was a senior at SUNY Albany. He stayed close to the future Speaker, and eventually worked his way up to District Leader in Heastie’s Bronx District. Talk about getting on the right train, huh?

Hassell-Thompson has herself endorsed Bailey, and he recently got endorsements from the New York State Nurses and District Council 37, the powerful union. For Heastie, it is always helps to have friends and allies even if it’s in the other house. Bailey is someone Heastie took under his wing at an early age, and will presumably return the loyalty. Sheldon Silver was very adept at making sure his friends and allies occupied the seats that opened up in the State Legislature, and it helped him stay in power for 20 years.

Reached by phone, Bailey said he was humbled to receive the endorsements, particularly from labor since his grandfather was a Teamster.

 

Wright Turn

In January of 2015, the New York State Assembly was thrown into chaos when Sheldon Silver was hit with a multi-count corruption complaint by U.S. Attorney, Preet Bharara. A lot unfolded in those days and weeks following what some described as a nuclear bomb hitting the State Capitol. The morning of the arrest, Assembly Democrats lined up in support of Silver, holding an impromptu press conference outside the Speaker’s office near the Assembly floor. There, they declared their “overwhelming” support for Silver, and insisted the charges against him were “not a distraction.” Members then admitted to Reporters both publicly and privately that they had not yet even read the complaint.

Hey, look…it was a confusing time for everyone. Silver was proclaiming his innocence, and the SCOTUS decision in the McDonnell case this week may ultimately prevent Silver, convicted on all seven corruption counts last year, from ever spending a day in prison. As someone who sat through that entire trial, I had serious questions about whether or not the government actually proved federal corruption beyond a reasonable doubt or simply demonstrated that Silver was a double talking politician who nevertheless legally used the rules ( he admittedly helped create and enforce ) to benefit himself. Either way, one could make a fair argument that it was unequivocally time for Silver to step aside after 20 years as Speaker, and focus instead on his defense. Perhaps Democrats should have understood that.

Behind the scenes, they actually did know that Silver’s days were numbered. And jockeying for the Speaker’s position began relatively quickly. That brings me to a conversation that took place early on between Assemblyman Keith Wright – (D) Harlem, and Assemblyman Carl Heastie – (D) Bronx. Wright considered himself a logical successor to Silver, and had already begun asking fellow members for their support. Wright was also on a bit of a mission. Already, Governor Cuomo had gotten involved by suggesting Majority Leader Joe Morelle would make an excellent interim Speaker to steady the ship during this period of turmoil. Wright was deeply resentful, having served as Cuomo’s Democratic State Co-Chair along with Syracuse mayor Stephanie Miner, who proved a headache for the Cuomo Administration. “They don’t know what the f— to do about her,” Wright once told me.

Heastie was actually in a better position to be Speaker all along. As the Bronx Democratic County Chair, he already had a natural base of votes from Bronx County. He also had a solid alliance with Queens Democratic Chair, Congressman Joe Crowley, who could also deliver a lot of votes for Speaker. But more than that, Heastie had support among fellow Democrats who liked and trusted him. He was a natural leader, and a lot of the younger members were eager to get him installed, almost as the “Anti-Shelly.” Whereas Silver was known for his authoritarian and top-down rule, Heastie at 47 years old was perfectly situated between the old guard members in their 60s and 70s, and the younger ones in their 30s. He was able to bridge the not insignificant generational divide among Democrats in the chamber. And Heastie promised to listen to members more than Silver ever did.

I was not privy to this conversation between Heastie and Wright, but from what I was told Heastie said something to Wright last January along the lines of, “You have another path,” meaning a run for Congress. Heastie continued, “this is all I have,” meaning the Speakership. The two men agreed that Wright would step aside, and in return Heastie would do all he could bring out voters in the Bronx for the 2016 Democratic Congressional Primary. The question now is…was that actually done?

The 13th District is comprised of 496 election districts, 108 of which are now located in the Bronx after 2010 redistricting. That’s roughly 20% of the vote. According to the Board of Elections, Espaillat beat Wright in the Bronx 2,371 votes to 1,418, or by a little more than a thousand votes, which curiously enough was roughly the margin separating the two candidates last night ( it’s now around 1,200 votes ). So, the Bronx actually could have made a huge difference in helping Wright win, it just didn’t. Turnout was very low in the Bronx, and was slightly higher in the 2014 Primary.

Technically speaking Heastie has absolutely no control over GOTV efforts in the Bronx, that falls to his successor Bronx Democratic Chair, Assemblyman Marcos Crespo who was with Wright last night as the votes were coming in ( Heastie was not ). Reached by phone, Crespo says of the results, “I can’t say I’m totally shocked, no.” He added that he “doesn’t think turnout was much different than in other elections.” Finally, Crespo pointed out two things that are significant, 1) it was a very quirky year in which people are being asked to go to the polls several times and many are just “tired.” 2) At the end of the day, even County machines do not control the will of the voters.

Wright was also probably hurt by his own friend and mentor, Charlie Rangel who announced his retirement more than once, only to dangle the possibility of Wright running for the seat, then pulling it away and saying he intends to run again. All that time the demographics of the ditsrict were shifting away from what were traditional Harlem voters who first elected Rangel in 1970.

Finally, Wright is a lot of things, but at the end of the day, he is an establishment candidate. He’s been in the Assembly since 1993, and was certainly known as someone who works well within the system. There is just no question that even with low turnout, 2016 is an anti-establishment year.

 

The New Front at the Port Authority

Now that the Chris Christie Bridgegate crowd has been ( forcibly ) moved out of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, a new dynamic is taking shape at the bi-state agency. Traditionally, there have been fights between the New York and New Jersey side over priorities and allocation of resources. Much of that was put on hold when the Bridgegate scandal erupted, because that was so overtly political and so New Jersey specific, that all New York had to do was step aside and let it play out. That is precisely what New York Governor Andrew Cuomo did, though mostly for his own political reasons.

But now Christie appointees Bill Baroni and David Wildtsein have been ensnared by the U.S. Attorney’s office, and I’m told former Chair David Samson may soon be in handcuffs over the “Chairman’s Flight.” Which means that a new New Jersey crew has moved in to stake out positions on behalf of the Garden State. As one insider put it about Baroni, Samson and Wildstein, “those guys were just a–holes. But it’s definitely a weird place and a weird time at the Port Authority now.”

Stepping in to fill the void are current Port Authority Chairman John “Why should I resign?!?” Degnan, and Democratic New Jersey Senate President Stephen Sweeney, who while not a member of the Port Authority Board, hopes to control half of it in the near future if he can get elected Governor in 2017. Governor Christie seems to want nothing to do with the Port Authority these days and for good reason, but Cuomo does. He very much wants his plans to revamp LaGuardia Airport to go through. The Sweeney and Degnan crowd, which includes New Jersey Democratic Senate Majority Leader Loretta Weinberg, are slightly less than enthusiastic about Cuomo’s plans and want to at least make sure they get what they want, which is a new Port Authority Bus Terminal in Times Square. The politics on the Jersey side are interesting because Degnan’s kid, Phillip Degnan, is the Comptroller for the State of New Jersey, appointed by Christie ( please do not even ask why New Jersey allows the Comptroller to be appointed by the Governor, because that is a whole other issue ). Some believe Degnan is cozying up to Weinberg and Sweeney because he is hoping his son could get appointed Attorney General in a Sweeney Administration.

The new fault line between New York and New Jersey came into view at the March 24 meeting of the Port Authority Board where Sources say Degnan threatened to hold up Cuomo’s LaGuardia Airport project unless he got a commitment from the agency to build a new bus terminal. In the end he got it. But insiders say the bus terminal is very nebulous at this point with an unknown price tag and no money to really get started. Moreover, the New York side is taking heat about yet another massive construction project in Times Square. New York City Councilman Corey Johnson and New York State Senator Brad Hoylman have both raised concerns. New York wants there to be a smaller terminal in Times Square and a second terminal built on the Jersey side, but Sweeney and the current Jersey crop oppose that because they don’t want New Jersey commuters to have to make two stops on their ride into the City, also known as a “two-seat bus ride.” A second terminal has long been opposed by Weinberg, and Sweeney is fishing for North Jersey votes since he is a creature of the South Jersey machine which is headed by South Jersey Democratic Political Boss George Norcross. The South Jersey Democrats have difficulty winning Statewide elections, and Sweeney knows a solid way to stay in the good graces of North Jersey, and Bergen County voters specifically, is to make their commutes into Manhattan MORE pleasant not LESS. New Jersey watchers also know that so goes Bergen County in most statewide elections, so goes the rest of New Jersey. It’s a little like Ohio in national elections.

What’s interesting here is that normally it’s the Jersey side pushing for more projects in New Jersey, and New York pushing for more projects in New York. Here, at least on the bus terminal, the opposite is true. And Foye, who was recently asked by Cuomo to stay on at the Port Authority despite an announced retirement last year, continues to be a thorn in the side of New Jersey. Foye is the one who sounded the alarm on Bridgegate. Some believe he would have gone a lot further had Christie not called Cuomo and told him to tell Foye to – ahem – back off ( the actual language was far more colorful ). But clearly Sweeney now has it out for Foye because he wants to control the agency and use it for what every other New York or New Jersey Governor has ever wanted – his own projects.

According to a source, earlier this month Sweeney said of the March 24 fight between Degnan and Foye,

So you know something, I am not happy with Pat Foye in any way, shape or form and he can go at any time…if I was John Degnan…I would have fired him on the spot for the way he spoke to him, the way he handled himself. Who the hell did he think he was? He works for them. He’s not their equal. He’s not their advisor. But that shows you how screwed up the place.

During the same rant, Sweeney also called himself “the fly in the ointment” on Port Authority reform. Bills to reform the agency need to pass all four houses of the legislatures in both states, and be signed by both Governors. Christie and Cuomo vetoed the real reforms that came to their desks over the holiday weekend in late 2014, and efforts to restart the reform train have all stalled.

Sweeney actually attended the March Port Authority meeting and after tensions flared, Degnan joined Sweeney in the back of the room for a gaggle with reporters. Degnan has wanted the New York bus terminal project for some time. On his first day as Chair he even took a symbolic bus ride from New Jersey into the terminal to make a point. But insiders from the New York side say  the bus terminal “is not well vetted,” and another described it as “half baked.” The good news about the Port Authority is we appear to be past the Bridgegate era, and now the New York and New Jersey sides can go back to what they have done for over 80 years which is hating each other and fighting over public policy.

***UPDATE***

In a statement, Sweeney says,

“I think Chairman Degnan is doing a great job at the Port Authority in making sure that both states are treated fairly when it comes to developing transportation related capital projects. While the Port Authority has a checkered history when it comes to New Jersey getting its fair share, the current Chairman never shies away from standing up for our interests and for transparency.  Plans to build a new bus terminal in New York, preserving the one-seat ride for New Jersey commuters is a perfect example of that.  He should to be treated with the respect and dignity his position deserves.”

Mayoral Control Falls Apart

Last night there appeared to be an agreement on a one year extension of Mayoral control of City schools but that now seems to have fallen apart. At issue is what some have called a “poison pill” designed to give the State greater control and oversight. According to people familiar with what’s on the table, individual schools would be forced to disclose their funding formulas. For the first time it would show which districts are getting what money and how that amount was determined. It’s about forcing the city to comply with the Campaign for Fiscal Equity which sued over inequitable distribution of funding among wealthier and poorer school districts back in 1993. New York State complied with the ruling of the Court of Appeals until the 2009 fiscal crisis, when it began reducing the amount the neediest districts received.

This is a doozy for so many reasons, I don’t really even know where to begin. For starters, it gives New York State’s Division of budget a more outsized role over Mayoral control. But like everything in Albany, politics is just below the surface. This appears aimed at undermining what Mayor de Blasio points to as one of his biggest successes which is his stewardship of the New York City public school system. If those formulas are disclosed it would potentially provide ammunition for the CFE lawsuit to be reopened. A major headache and a potential embarrassment for the Mayor who is up for re-election just next year. If the formulas show that poor districts aren’t getting their fair share, it could undermine the Mayor’s top selling point as a politician who should be hired for a second term. Moreover, if it’s only a one year extension, the Mayor could be forced to come up to Albany next year and explain all this to Senate Republicans while under oath.

Senate republicans have made no secret of their disdain for the Mayor, And Governor Cuomo’s feud with de blasio has been well documented. Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie stormed out of a meeting with the Governor yesterday, and I’m told it relates directly to this and the Speaker’s belief that fellow Democrat Andrew Cuomo isn’t being supportive. Neither are Senate Leaders Jeff Klein and John Flanagan who defended more transparency with the city’s school funding formulas after a leader’s meeting this morning.

Flanagan said,

Let’s go back to basics. We send over $9 Billion to the City of New York in State aid…It is eminently reasonable for a parent or a City Council Mmeber to say ‘where are you spending the money?’ How much are you spending per pupil in what districts. And let’s be very, very clear. The City of New York is unique and special. The rest of the State publicly votes on their school budgets. There is a lot more transparency at the local level.

Klein agreed, adding

I don’t think it’s unreasonable if we require the City of New York, as part of Mayoral Control, to provide transparency. let’s see how much we are spending per school.

If de Blasio were to get challenged in a primary next year it would probably not bother Flanagan all that much. And if he were challenged by someone like Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. it probably wouldn’t even bother Klein or Cuomo all that much, both of whom have close ties to the Bronx BP. It’s also yet another example of Cuomo co-opting those on the left who would be more natural allies of the more progressive Mayor, such as advocates who brought the CFE lawsuit in the first place. Yes, folks, Heastie has once again been isolated in his defense of the Mayor. And that seems to be at least part of what is holding everything up.

Bag Fee Palace Intrigue

Say what you will about the bag fee legislation approved by the City Council last month, It’s probably fair to say no one expected the Democrat dominated New York State Assembly to even consider overturning the will of the also overwhelming Democratic New York City Council. Thus it was a huge surprise yesterday when Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie said he remains open to doing precisely that. Telling reporters,

I think there is a concern among the Assembly Members, particularly those who represent the city, on the language that is in the City Council bill, so we are looking at it. And we have some issues with it. And we are in discussions with the City Council and the Mayor to see if we can kind of push this off to have a better discussion of what to do in the city. But there are concerns among the City members.

It was probably a sign last month that Heastie allowed a joint State legislative committee hearing in the city on this issue. Assembly Member Mike Cusick (D) – Staten Island said Monday that he believes he has enough support in the full Assembly to pass the bill right now. The bill has cleared the Cities Committee and is currently in Ways and Means, but was not on Tuesday’s agenda to be reported out of Ways and Means. All amendments to any legislation expected to pass next week are said to be due this Thursday, so bills can go live for passage next Tuesday after aging the requisite three days. So, if this is gonna happen, it needs to happen soon.

So, what is really going on here?

Coupla things. On the one hand, Heastie needs to be responsive to his members. He is still a relatively new Speaker, compared to the previous one who stayed 20 years and is currently on a path to federal prison. If many of the members from Queens, the Bronx and Staten Island are complaining that the city legislation puts an undue and disproportionate burden on working class constituents, of course the Speaker is obligated to do more than simply pay the issue lip service. Or as one insider put it, the Speaker needs to make sure each of his members “gets one,” and for guys like Cusick this is his “one.”

But there is also a back story between Heastie and City Council Speaker Melisssa Mark-Viverito. The issue goes back to 2012 when former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn helped sign off on the district lines coming out of the 2010 census. Quinn at the time was angling to be Mayor and a very large portion of ( ultimately misinformed ) City Hall watchers believed she more or less had it in the bag. Quinn, working through the Districting Commission, helped change Mark-Viverito’s district. By a lot. Forcing a good portion of Councilmatic District 8 into the Bronx, an area where the future Speaker had no base of support. Her district had previously been mostly East Harlem. This became the only District in the City that was not contiguous, and it included two distinct boroughs. Observers at the time thought Quinn was trying to weaken Mark-Viverito and prevent her from succeeding her as Speaker. Quinn denied this.

Mark-Viverito did what any local elected at the time would do, she went to the Bronx Democratic machine for help, which was chaired by none other than Carl Heastie. From reports at the time, Heastie and Mark-Viverito didn’t eactly hit it off. Ultimately, Mark-Viverito won the seat. Whether the machine actually pulled the maximum amount of votes for her it could, or sat on it’s hands a bit is a matter of dispute, and it depends on who you ask. Fast forward to the end of 2013 when discussions were under way about who would be elected City Council Speaker. The Borough County Chairs had dinner together in Puerto Rico over Somos weekend and came away with the conclusion that no one was wild about Mark-Viverito as Speaker, particularly Heastie or Queens Democratic Chair, Congressman Joe Crowley. Enter the Newly elected Mayor Bill de Blasio, who twisted arms and helped push through Mark-Viverito as Speaker with an assist from Brooklyn Democratic Chair Frank Seddio.

Some have pointed out that it’s curious during what feels like a long slog to the finish line in Albany this year, with just days left on the legislative calendar, this plastic bag issue is very much alive while other critical pieces of legislation such as renewing a developer tax credit known as 421a, and The Dream Act appear to have fallen by the wayside.

***UPDATE*** A spokesperson for Speaker Heastie says that whatever differences he may have had with Council Speaker Mark-Viverito in the past have since been put to rest, and they now enjoy a very solid working relationship.

Campaign Laws Are Clear on Some ( but not all ) Things

In a recent interview with Brian Lehrer on WNYC, Mayor de Blasio was asked whether he would rule out using a 501(c)(4) Super PAC for his re-election campaign in 2017. The mayor responded with,

It’s just too early to say, and I’ll say it in very simple terms. I’ve said clearly if people choose to run for this office, God bless them.

Technically speaking, Super PAC’s are not allowed to coordinate with the campaigns. They must spend money independently. So, by indicating he will decide whether or not to employ a super PAC as the campaign moves forward, does that possibly demonstrate a failure to understand where the boundaries are when it comes to political fundraising? Some in State government believe it does.

The answer is also somewhat revealing in that Mayor de Blasio is currently under scrutiny from U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara for fundraising practices on behalf of the Senate Democrats dating back to 2014. At issue is whether the Mayor intentionally subverted state campaign finance laws by funneling money to County Democratic organizations which then wheeled that money to specific Senate candidates in the Hudson Valley. People who are much more well informed about state election law than me say it’s pretty clear: that’s not allowed. There are limits on what can be directly earmarked for individual candidates, and using what amounts to a middle man to get more money to those candidates would seem to be a violation of the law. I have no idea whether this actually happened, and it’s for the U.S. Attorney to sort out. But to some critics it sounds like Mayor de Blasio was blind to the very lines one cannot cross when it comes to political fundraising.

In the same radio interview the mayor expounded on why his office has refused to cooperate with the Joint Commission on Public Ethics or JCOPE’s investigation into the Campaign for One New York which raised money to support the Mayor’s agenda before it was abruptly shut down in March. The Mayor said,

We see an entity that again suspiciously seems to only look at us and not other people doing the exact same thing.

In response Seth Agata, former Counsel to Governor Cuomo who now heads JCOPE, told the Daily News’ Erin Durkin,

We are investigating right now the Committee For One New York, not the mayor. He’s confused himself with a separate corporation and that’s very troubling. If he’s that intimately involved with this corporation, perhaps that raises other questions.

One could certainly make the point that in this environment, with a thirsty U.S. Attorney who is willing to investigate what has always been considered “business as usual” in New York State, everyone needs to be extra special careful about navigating and recognizing the boundaries when it comes to political fundraising which ( rightly or wrongly ) exist for a reason. Or as one insider put it about the Mayor, “he does not get it. He keeps blurring the line. This U.S. Attorney is looking at everything.”

People close to the mayor say these two examples do not show any ignorance of the law, nor any indication there is a failure on de Blasio’s part to understand the nuances of those laws. They “vehemently disagree” with that assessment, and argue the Mayor “knows exactly where the boundaries are.”

In a statement, Andrew Friedman a spokesperson for the Mayor’s political arm said,

Mayor de Blasio has said repeatedly that he and his staff will cooperate fully with all law-enforcement investigations. Unfortunately, there have been serious questions raised about conflicts of interest, selective enforcement, and politicized investigations by state agencies — JCOPE and the Board of Elections – and those questions should be examined. Most importantly, the Mayor is fully confident that all efforts have been completely appropriate and within the law at all times.

Scandal Means State Senate May Hold

Recently I was driving up to Albany when I noticed an animal carcass on the side of the road. It’s not uncommon to see deer or the occasional badger, but as I got closer I realized the animal was actually a small black bear which is highly unusual. Naturally, my first instinct was to pull the car over, peel the bear skin off the highway’s shoulder, clean it and then wear it over my head and shoulders for the rest of the day. When people would approach me at the State Capitol and say things like, “Hey, Zack…what is that you are wearing?” I’d simply respond with, “Zack is not here. From now on you shall call me ‘Bear Man.”

But then when I really thought about it, I concluded that was a pretty elaborate place to go for a practical joke, so I opted to scrap the idea altogether. Although deep down I think most ( but certainly not all ) of you would have appreciated the humor. I would have been channeling the character who practiced medicine, dentistry and veterinary arts in that movie “True Grit,” only he wasn’t really trying to be funny.

Somehow I suspect that if someone were to do something surreal and outrageous in Albany these next couple of weeks, it wouldn’t even feel that out of place. The whole atmosphere is weird. It’s like disturbia up here. Lawmakers are concerned about wheeling and dealing on legislation, and everyone is waiting for the other shoe to drop. The corruption scandals have not only hobbled Albany and wish list items for the remainder of the session, they may have also fundamentally shifted the dynamic for the upcoming state elections.

Democrats have been expressing confidence that they will pick up enough seats and win back control of the State Senate. But some believe the fundraising scandal may have changed the paradigm. Donors could be skittish about filling the campaign coffers of Democratic candidates. A funding scheme to funnel money to Democratic Senate candidates in the Hudson Valley in 2014 is now the focus of a federal investigation by the U.S. Attorney, Preet Bharara. And as one GOP insider put it, “this is certainly not where the Dems thought they would be right now.”

The strategy for Democrats this year, at least before the scandal hit, was to rely on strength at the top of the ticket to pull Democratic challengers over the finish line. Hillary Clinton is the likely nominee and she has already been elected statewide twice in New York State. Some would even argue she did better than expected against Bernie Sanders here in the April 19 primary. So, in other words, it’s a classic “boot straps” strategy. the head of the New York State Democratic Senate Campaign Committee, Senator Michael Gianaris recently told me,

We always benefit from Presidential elections. That’s why we won four seats in 2012 in the State Senate and why we expect to do well in 2016, all things being equal. But with the contrast of Hillary Clinton and Trump that is going to be more exaggerated. The dynamic is going to be terrific for Democratic candidates all up and down the ballot.

This may prove accurate, but GOP-leaning insiders see it differently. It all comes down to individual candidates in individual races and if you take the ability to aggressively fund raise out of the equation, the math gets much harder for Democrats. For example, Democrats are relying on some rematches, which they believe will break their way in the general. Terry Gipson will take on Senator Sue Serino, who took him out as an incumbent two years ago. But Gipson could get lumped into the negative press about the investigation, and could ultimately fall short regardless of how Clinton fares in the district. Democrats are also recycling Adam Haber on Strong Island for the open seat being vacated by Republican Senator Jack Martins. Martins beat Haber last time, and it’s unclear who the GOP candidate will be. It’s also unclear if Democratic Senator Todd Kaminsky will be challenged after defeating newcomer Chris McGrath for the Skelos seat.

The Kaminsky model was a strong one for Democrats. Run a sitting incumbent Assembly member for the Senate whose district is already contained within the footprint of the Senate district. That way they have a built in constituency. But hopes that Assemblyman Jim Skoufis would run against Bill Larkin haven’t worked out, and Assemblyman Sean Ryan of Buffalo has also opted not to leave the Assembly to run for the seat being vacated by departing Democratic incumbent Marc Panepinto. Staying with Buffalo for a minute, Republicans have recruited Chris Jacobs to run for the Panepinto seat. Jacobs is currently the Erie County clerk and a “proven vote getter,” which means Repubs could conceivably pick up the Panepinto seat which of course they previously held with Mark Grisanti.

I’m not even going to get into the dynamic among mainline Senate Dems and the loyaties of the IDC or Simcha Felder and where they may lie next year, but suffice to say it is yet another variable.

Finally, when it came time to vote for this year’s State budget which contained a massive increase in the minimum wage and a brand new paid family leave program, some believe Senate Republicans adopted a bit of a “Thelma and Louise” strategy by driving off the cliff altogether. Republicans opted to stay united as a conference and all vote for the budget including those progressive policy initiatives. That could hurt incumbents or maybe it helps those in swing districts. Either way, it was incredibly gutsy call by Majority Leader John Flanagan to employ that strategy and enforce discipline. It was probably the right one. We, as they say, shall see.

Cuomo’s Bridgegate?

From the Morning Memo:

Is Gov. Andrew Cuomo facing his version of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s Bridgegate? Some of parallels are actually quite similar.

Two sitting governors claim people close to them went rogue, operating in a manner of which they had no knowledge and would never have authorized.

A federal investigation is launched.

Both governors move immediately to distance themselves from those individuals as ties are cut. Then each governor hires an outside attorney to conduct a top-to-bottom review of what went wrong. For Christie it was Gibson Dunn’s Randy Mastro; for Cuomo, it’s Bart Schwartz, a former federal prosecutor who is now an attorney in private practice.

Christie ultimately survived the worst crisis of his administration stemming from the intentional shutdown of access lanes to the George Washington Bridge, although one could credibly argue the incident and its fallout completely derailed his presidential ambitions.

Cuomo’s crisis is only just beginning, and let’s not forget that Cuomo is hoping to play a big role in the upcoming Democratic National Convention this summer with what is widely believed to be an eye on his own White House run sometime in the not too distant future.

Last Friday, Ken Lovett of the Daily News popped a doozy of story involving “improper lobbying and undisclosed conflicts of interests” among some of the key players in Cuomo’s signature economic development plan for western New York known as the “Buffalo Billion.”

Those individuals who have drawn attention from U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara include the head of nano-technology at SUNY, Alain Kaloyeros, D.C.-based lobbyist Todd Howe and Joe Percoco, the longtime Cuomo aide and loyalist – quite the list, but it was Percoco’s alleged involvement that simultaneously set every Albany watcher’s hair on fire.

I’ve always had a bit of soft spot for Joe. Including recently when I ran into him at an event and snapped a quick photo of him to which he immediately said: “Ya know, I no longer work in the public sector, which means I can actually beat the S#!%  out of you now.”

Yes, Joe played to type, right out of central casting. He was the muscle. The enforcer. Willing to do things on behalf of the Cuomos (he worked for both former Gov. Mario Cuomo as well as his son) that the Cuomos themselves preferred not to do. For Andrew Cuomo, Percoco would threaten reporters or other electeds who dared go against the governor. Joe “kept a list,” I was once told, and carried the grudges on behalf of Cuomoland.

It was all quite funny, actually. Until it wasn’t. More >

John Emrick Leaving IDC

They say Albany is a transitive place, and each year I am reminded of that fact as people do their time here and then move on to something else. ( I know that kinda makes it sound like a prison sentence, but hey, if the shoe fits…).

The latest such transition comes out of the Independent Democratic Conference in the state Senate as Chief of Staff John Emrick gets ready to depart Albany. I first met Emrick in 2012 as he and members of the IDC were preparing for what would become their major test of power in the chamber. After the November elections, the IDC forged a deal with Senate Republicans for control of the upper house.

That relationship remains in place to this day, albeit with some changes after the 2014 elections. Keep in mind…there are plenty of people who are deeply offended by that relationship, notably the mainline Senate Democrats. But that was the moment when IDC Leader Jeff Klein truly established his five member conference as an independent force in the New York State legislature, and Emrick was key to making it all happen.

Emrick is almost never without a fantastic Albany story to tell. It sometimes takes him a minute to get warmed up, as he stares at you with those innocent, droopy eyes of his. But once you get him going, there are few people as clever and entertaining. Yes, Emrick is nothing if not dialed in to what is happening here at the haunted mansion on the hill we like to call the State Capitol. Emrick says of his departure:

“It’s with a heavy heart that I leave the IDC, whose members and staff, have become my second family. After years of dedicated public service it’s time for me to spend more time with my family, whose lives I miss each day that I spend away from home. This is an exciting time to take on a new political role and work with the IDC. Senator Klein, Valesky, Savino, Carlucci and Avella, together, change New York for the better. I have been proud to work with them, as they lead the way in the State Senate, and look forward to seeing the conference thrive.”

And IDC Leader Jeff Klein says:

“As the Independent Democratic Conference’s Chief of Staff, John has always been loyal and dedicated to the IDC, a stable third conference, that will continue to focus on governing for the people of New York. His brilliance, vision and Democratic ideals enhanced our conference and made a difference for all New Yorkers. I wish him all the best and look forward to working with him closely in a new capacity during one of the most important political seasons that will determine the direction of the Senate.

Emrick won’t be going far. For the remainder of the year he will be doing campaign work for the IDC, but will be based mostly out of New York City. With his wife, Cassie, having just received a promotion at CBS, it has been a real strain on the two kids with having one parent working all the time and the other up in Albany. That’s why he’d like to be closer to home. But Emrick is sanguine about the transition, acknowledging to me just moments ago that people up in Albany can sometimes become like a surrogate family in what sometimes feel like weeks away from one’s actual home. I couldn’t agree more.

Dana Carotenuto will take the reins as chief of staff for the IDC. She is currently deputy COS and policy director. She was the architect of Klein’s Paid family Leave Program. Be strong, Dana.

 

 

Budget Update

It’s not late yet, but it’s coming awfully close. One lawmaker noted that this is the first time in the Andrew Cuomo Era that NO budget bills have even been printed the day before the big deadline. We are in officially in uncharted waters, folks.

So, what is going on exactly? At issue is still this Medicaid funding. People who align themselves with Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie depict this battle as an attempt by the Governor to shift $250 million in costs to the city. The counter narrative to this is that the savings will be spread out statewide, in fact some the most rapid Medicaid growth has been on Long Island and those two counties have their hands tied behind their back because of the 2% spending cap. The Governor wants more savings out of Medicaid because as he put it yesterday, counties have “no incentive” to contain the growth of Medicaid since the state took over paying for that growth back in 2012. But insiders say it is going to be tough to find savings since the program is already pretty lean. Cuomo’s own Medicaid Redesign Team made sure of that. And Cuomo appears to have arrived at the figure of $250 million because that is the estimated cost to the state to pay non-profits and other third party providers a new heftier $15-an hour minimum wage set to pass with the budget. The truth is the state is awash in cash. Billions in reserves, some say. But Cuomo wants to pay the third party providers out of the current budget, also to stay within the 2% spending cap. Bottom line? The City will get hit the hardest since they account for 70% of the Medicaid program. Heastie and Mayor de Blasio will not sign off on that.

Some insiders are privately grumbling that Heastie and the Mayor should “bite the bullet” and just absorb the cost. They should be very excited about a bold, progressive budget that includes a much higher minimum wage and the establishment of a paid family leave program. For his part, Heastie has said he will not sign off on any budget that applies “punitive” costs to the City of New York. Some say it’s crazy to hold the budget hostage over this and lose out on those big ticket items.

Others say lawmakers need to think very clearly on this one. If the budget is late, and there is no ethics reform by the end of the year, it’s going to be very hard for the pay commission to give them a raise. The Commission, after all, judges the legislature on it’s performance. And if they fail to perform their basic function which is approving a state spending plan on time, they can forget about that raise they were counting on. Lawmakers haven’t had a raise since 1999. Just some food for thought as the deadline looms.