On the heels of the release by GOP Nassau County executive candidate Jack Martins’ campaign this morning of a polling memo that shows him leading his Democratic opponent, Laura Curran, among likely voters with Election Day fast approaching, the Curran campaign has responded with its own polling memo that shows…well, the exact opposite result.

According to the memo prepared for Curran by the polling and consulting firm Global Strategy Group, the Democratic Nassau County legislator leads her former state senator opponent by four percentage points, 43-39, with 17 percent of voters still undecided though there is just over one week remaining in the race.

Global Strategy Group found that Curran is “better known than her GOP rival and maintains strongly positive personal ratings,” and also that the Democrats have “advantages on key partisan metrics while Martins must contend with the extreme negativity surrounding the corruption connected to prominent Nassau County Republicans.”

That explains why Curran has been consistently trying to tie Martins to the man whose seat both candidates are trying to win, retiring Republican County Executive Ed Mangano, who opted not to seek re-election as he fights federal corruption charges; as well as former Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos, another Long Island Republican felled by a federal corruption case, (though his conviction was overturned due to a U.S. Supreme Court decision).

According to the memo, which appears in full below, a majority of voters have unfavorable opinions of Mangano (20 percent favorable/56 percent unfavorable), and the level of negativity is just as great for Skelos (15 percent favorable/47 percent unfavorable).

Also, the memo maintains, President Donald Trump is “unpopular and a liability for a fellow Republican like Martins,” (41 percent favorable/51 percent unfavorable; 44 percent very unfavorable).

UPDATE: A sharp-eyed reader who pays close attention to detail notes that the Global Strategy poll was conducted Oct. 16-17, which was almost two weeks ago now, whereas the poll conducted for the Martins campaign was in the field much more recently – Oct. 25-26 – and so ostensibly has more updated information.

Take into consideration, of course, that neither side is releasing the entirety of their respective surveys, only the interpretations of the results by the firms that collected and analyzed the data, so it’s difficult to say from an objective standpoint which is more accurate.

Nassau County Tracking Memo F10.30.17 by liz_benjamin6490 on Scribd