On Friday Republicans are expected to meet in Albany to determine their leadership going into 2019. It’s a significant transition since, for the first time in years, the Senate Republicans will find themselves in the minority. Current Majority Leader John Flanagan is facing the most significant challenge of his tenure from Senator Cathy Young of Olean.

Some believe Flanagan is pushing for an early vote in part because he wants to lock this up before opposition can build. For example, Senator Sue Serino is currently out of the country and will not be able to attend Friday’s leadership reorganization meeting. Sources say Serino did not receive the financial support she needed in her race against Democrat Karen Smythe. Critics say the Republican campaign committee instead dumped an inordinate amount of resources into Tom Basile’s losing race against Democrat Jim Skoufis. The truth is, that race was always a losing cause. Skoufis already represented much of the district in the Assembly, and polls showed him way ahead the whole time. Serino on the other hand, was an incumbent and a valued Republican member in a swing district who needed help. If she were to attend the meeting, some believe she could be a critical swing vote in support of Cathy Young, especially if she told that story.

Sources say Flanagan is also calling for secret ballot, for whatever that is worth.

The Flanagan camp has a very different take. They say he would not be calling for a vote, if he didn’t already have what he needed to win. This actually makes sense, because Flanagan was never in the habit of bringing bills to the floor without knowing they would pass. As for Serino, they say the bottom line is that she won her race. And it’s inaccurate to say they did not provide resources. In fact, they matched what she had as the race got tighter. Early polls showed her in the lead.

Finally, Republicans find themselves at a real crossroads. Especially with the prospect of becoming a “permanent minority” ( like the Assembly Republicans ) looming. Some say now is the time for a leadership change to set the course for the future. Especially if they can’t make a change with Republican State Chairman Ed Cox, who has made clear he isn’t going anywhere anytime soon. On the other hand, Flanagan has always come through for his members. And some believe he will be rewarded for that dedication and loyalty.