Q-Poll: New Yorkers Back Teachers Unions Over Cuomo

New York voters say they trust the state’s teachers’ unions over Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s own direction for education policy in the state, a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday found.

The poll found voters trust the unions by a margin of 55 percent to 28 percent when it comes to improving the state’s education system.

Meanwhile, as Cuomo hashes out the nettlesome details of the state budget with lawmakers, his job approval rating has fallen to 50 percent, one his lowest ever in the poll. His approval in December stood at 58 percent to 39 percent.

The survey found voters are skeptical of efforts to scale back teacher tenure or provide merit pay for teachers based on testing.

By a margin of 71 percent to 25 percent, voters believe teacher salaries shouldn’t be tied to how students perform on standardized testing. Meanwhile, 65 percent of voters polled by Quinnipiac believe teacher tenure shouldn’t be based on test scores of students.

Cuomo’s $142 billion budget proposal would increase education aid by as much as $1.1 billion, but much of the spending increases are tied to enacting a package reform measures.

Cuomo wants to create a new, more stringent teacher evaluation system, raise the statewide cap on charter schools, make it harder for teachers to obtain tenure and provide an easier route for districts to fire teachers who are deemed to be poor performing.

The governor’s plan would also make it easier for the state to have low-performing schools taken over by an independent monitor.

The fight over education in the budget has led to an all-out war between Cuomo and the teachers unions, chiefly the New York Stated United Teachers statewide and the city-based United Federation of Teachers.

“Gov. Andrew Cuomo gets his lowest grade on education, which is the top priority for voters, a grade so bad it pulls down his whole job approval score. He’s just at the 50 percent mark,” said Mickey Carroll, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Gov. Cuomo gets a rap on the knuckles from the teachers’ unions. By better than 2-1, voters trust the unions more than the governor to fix the schools.”

But while voters part with Cuomo on education, they do support his efforts to increase the state’s minimum wage to $10.50. In New York City, the wage would grow to $11.50 as proposed by the governor.

Statewide, voters back the $10.50 minimum wage proposal, 73 percent to 24 percent. Only Republican voters give the thumbs down to the proposal, by a margin of 51 percent to 46 percent.

Sixty-eight percent of voters back Cuomo’s minimum wage hike for New York City to $11.50, while in New York City a broad majority of voters support the idea, 81 percent to 16 percent.

Voters are so enthusiastic about New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio’s minimum wage hike plan for the city and are split 47 percent to 47 percent. De Blasio’s proposal would increase the wage to $13 and index future increases to the rate of inflation.

This is largely in line with voters backing Cuomo’s more centrist political views to de Blasio’s liberal politics: 26 percent of voters say they back Cuomo’s views compared to 22 percent who say they are in line with de Blasio. Still, half voters say “neither.”

The poll of 1,228 voters was conducted from March 11 through March 16. It has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

Siena: Cuomo’s Numbers Up Heading Into SoS/Budget

One day before of his combined State of the State and budget address, a new Siena pol finds Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s standing with voters has improved slightly since last month and is now at its highest level since last July.

The governor’s favorable/unfavorable rating is 60-35, up a bit from 58-37 last month – just a few weeks after his re-election to a second four-year term in November. Cuomo’s job performance rating remains negative, 47-51, but has improved slightly from 42-57 in December.

Delving deeper into the latest numbers, Siena pollster Steve Greenberg said Cuomo is viewed favorably by more than three-quarters of Democrats and New York City voters and favorably by independents and downstate suburbanites. Upstate voters are evenly divided and Republicans are decidedly unfavorable in their views of the Democratic governor.

Even a majority of voters who view the current governor negatively have a favorable view of his father, the late former Gov. Mario Cuomo, who died on New Year’s Day, just hours after his son delivered his first of two inauguration speeches. Seventy-six percent of New Yorkers said they a favorable view of the first Gov. Cuomo, compared to just 14 percent who view him unfavorably.

At least 40 percent of those polled statewide believe education and jobs should be one of Cuomo’s top two priorities for the 2015 session. Those are definitely make the top of the to-do list for Democrats, while it’s taxes and jobs for Republicans and suburbanites and upstaters favoring all three.

New Yorkers gave a negative rating to public schools across the state when it comes to preparing students to be college or career ready, and they’re evenly divided on their local schools. Not surprisingly, there’s a regional divide on this issue, too, Greenberg noted, explaining;

“Majorities of downstate suburban and upstate voters say their local public schools are doing an excellent or good job of preparing students to be college or career ready, however, twice as many New York City voters say their local public schools are doing a fair or poor job of preparing students, not a good or excellent job.”

By a 15-point margin – and just shy of the magic 50 percent mark – voters say the implementation of the Common Core standards should be stopped. They also trust the state Education Department and the Board of Regents more than Cuomo of the Legislature when it comes to setting education policy, even though it was SED and the Regents that botched the Common Core implementation, causing widespread consternation in recent years.

Greenberg said 38 percent of voters trust SED the most to set education policy, followed by 23 percent who trust the Regents most, 18 percent who trust Cuomo, and eight percent who trust the Legislature.

Cuomo is widely expected to make education reform a main focus of his speech tomorrow. He’s been discussing the need for broad changes to the public education system – including giving the governor more control over setting policy – since before the November elections.

Seventy percent of voters support the idea of continuing the 2 percent property tax cap, and support cuts across both regional and party lines. Support is weakest in New York City (63 percent) and strongest among Republicans (79 percent).

New Yorkers remain unimpressed with the Senate and Assembly as government bodies, with the lower chamber’s favorable/unfavorable rating at 42-41, and the upper house at 45-44.

Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver’s negatives – 37 percent – outweigh his positives – 21 percent – with 42 percent of New Yorkers having no clue who the Manhattan Democrat is, despite the fact that he’s the longest-serving legislative leader in Albany.

As for Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos, his split is: 13-18, with 68 percent saying they don’t know enough about the Long Island Republican to have an opinion about him.

Siena poll, 1/20/15 by liz_benjamin6490

Siena Poll: Cuomo, Bratton More Likely To Improve Community-Police Relations

Most New Yorkers are turning to NYPD Commissioner Bill Bratton and Gov. Andrew Cuomo to improve relations between communities and the NYC police department, a Siena College poll released on Monday found.

The poll found 38 percent of New York voters believe Bratton is making relations “better” between cops and community members, while 32 percent say the same for Cuomo.

Only 18 percent believe NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio is making relations with the police better, while 48 percent say he is making it worse.

Meanwhile, 34 percent of voters believe PBA President Pat Lynch, who has blasted de Blasio repeatedly and claimed the mayor’s office has “blood on its hands” for the shooting deaths of two officers in Brooklyn last month, is actually making the rift between the NYPD and City Hall worse.

And the Rev. Al Sharpton doesn’t fare well, either, with a whopping 57 percent of poll respondents saying the outspoken civil rights leader and TV personality is having a negative impact on community-police relations.

It’s not all good news on the perception front for Cuomo, however, as he hints at putting together a package of criminal justice reform measures in the wake of Staten Island grand jury choosing to not indict a police officer in the chokehold death of Eric Garner.

Forty-eight percent of voters believe Cuomo has “no impact” on improving police and community relations.

Still, Cuomo has sought to play something of a peacemaker role in recent weeks as tensions have flared between the mayor and the NYPD.

Cuomo huddled privately with police union leaders – a sit-down that came as he also considers the fate of a police discipline bill he is yet to sign.

De Blasio has been criticized by police union leaders for using the word “alleged” when discussing the attack on a police officer by protestors in a recent confrontation as well as speaking about the concern he has for his son Dante, who is biracial, in dealing with law enforcement.

Nevertheless, a majority of New Yorkers believe police in New York City were wrong to turn their backs on de Blasio, even as upstate voters and Republicans polled between the cops were correct do so.

That result could loom large as Senate Republicans plan to undertake a series of legislative hearings this month to consider criminal justice issues. Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos indicated last week in an interview the hearings will likely focus on whether elected officials have contributed to an anti-police atompshere.

Criminal justice issues are expected to figure prominently this legislative session as Cuomo has suggested he plans to recommend changing the grand jury process as well as create a special prosecutor to handle police brutality cases. This will likely come first in the form of a commission to study the complex issues.

Assembly Democrats, meanwhile, are already raising long-sought criminal justice issues such as overhauling the discovery process in criminal cases.

Overall, elected officials in Albany may have their work cut out for them when it comes to mending the system, the poll found.

“Even as we celebrate the life and achievements of Dr. King, New Yorkers’ feelings about the state of race relations here are more negative today than they have been for the last several years,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said.

“Last year, two thirds of black voters and about half of white and Latino voters thought race relations were only fair or poor. Today, between 65 and 74 percent of black, white and Latino voters say race relations are fair or poor, as do between 64 and 68 percent of Democrats, Republicans and independents.”

The Siena poll of 802 registered voters was conducted from Jan. 11 through Jan. 15. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

SNY0115 Crosstabs 011915 by Nick Reisman

Q-Poll: NYC Voters Disapprove Of Cops Turning Their Backs On de Blasio

A broad majority of New York City voters disapprove of police officers turning their backs on Mayor Bill de Blasio, a Quinnipiac University poll released on Thursday found.

The poll found a full spectrum of voters — black, white and Hispanic — are opposed to the public display seen at the funerals slain police officers Rafael Ramos and Wenjian Liu, 69 percent to 27 percent.

An even larger majority — 77 percent to 17 percent — found comments made by PBA President Pat Lynch that the mayor’s office had blood on its hands following those officers’ deaths are “too extreme.”

“Cops turning their backs on their boss, Mayor Bill de Blasio, is unacceptable, New Yorkers say by large margins,” said Quinnipiac’s Mickey Carrol. “Even cop-friendly Staten Island gives that rude gesture only a split decision.”

Most voters hold the view that de Blasio — who has been critical of aspects of policing such as stop and frisk as well as spoken of the concern he was for his son dealing with law enforcement — supports police in the city.

A majority, 52 percent to 38 percent, believe police discipline has broken down, while 62 percent say New York City Police Commissioner Bill Bratton can restore or maintain it.

Bratton’s job approval, meanwhile, has jumped, the poll found, from 51 percent to 41 percent last month to 56 percent to 37 percent this month.

Not held in high regard by voters are both Lynch and the Rev. Al Sharpton.

Lynch has an 18 percent favorability rating, with a plurality of voters, 43 percent to 27 percent, saying he has a negative impact on the city. Sharpton, meanwhile, has a 29 percent favorable rating, his lowest score in the Quinnipiac poll ever. By a margin of 51 percent to 37 percents, voters believe he is a negative force for the city.

The poll was conducted from Jan. 7 through Jan. 14 and surveyed 1,182 New York City voters. It has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage ponits.

Q-Poll: NY Backs Fracking Ban, Won’t Trade Anything For A Legislative Pay Hike

Voters in New York back Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s plan to prohibit high-volume hydrofracking in the state by a 30-percentage point margin, a Quinnipiac University poll released on Monday found.

The poll found Republicans are split on the issue, with 42 percent backing the ban and 40 percent opposing it. Democrats are most likely to be support the fracking ban by a margin of 67 percent to 11 percent.

Meanwhile, a majority of upstate voters support the ban, 56 percent to 20 percent, with a similar margin in New York City, the poll found. The fracking ban has the least support among suburban voters, where the ban has the backing of 52 percent of voters.

Cuomo’s administration last week moved to ban hydrofracking following a lengthy health review of the natural gas drilling process on humans.

The move came the same day a casino siting board decided against giving a license to any projects in the Southern Tier to construct a casino resort. With both fracking and casinos off the table for the economically troubled region, Cuomo has acknowledged that something must be done to help the area grow jobs.

What voters don’t want to see is a legislative pay hike, which would be the first salary bump for state lawmakers, earn a base $79,500.

The poll found, not surprisingly, that 82 percent of voters would oppose a pay increase for the Legislature, 15 percent backing such a move.

Cuomo has been sympathetic to the push for a salary hike, but has said he wants lawmakers to take up sweeping campaign finance and ethics reform in the process, including the public financing of political campaigns and limits on outside income for lawmakers.

But trading a pay hike for ethics legislation or even a faster minimum wage increase are not popular, the poll found.

Trading a minimum wage increase for a legislative pay raise is rated a “bad idea” by 70 percent of voters.

Ethics reform, including campaign finance law changes, in exchange for a pay raise still lacks support, with 57 percent of voters not backing that proposal.

The state’s minimum wage is set to increase to $8.75 by the start of the new year.

Cuomo himself has a 58 percent job approval rating, virtually unchanged from August when Quinnipiac last polled the question.

The Quinnipiac poll of 1,293 registered voters has a 2.7 percent margin of error and was conducted from Dec. 17 through Dec. 21.

122214 NY GOV + BP by Nick Reisman

Siena Poll: New Yorkers Back AG As Special Prosector

A majority of New Yorkers support giving Attorney General Eric Schneiderman the power to investigate other instances of police brutality, a Siena College poll released on Friday found.

The poll found that by a 58 percent to 33 percent margin, New Yorkers would back giving Schneiderman the power of special prosecutor to probe other instances of police brutality after a grand jury chose to not indict a New York police officer in the chokehold death of Eric Garner.

“A majority of Democrats, independents, voters from every region and race agree that the Attorney General and not local district attorneys should have authority in cases where unarmed civilians are killed by police officers, although Democrats, New York City voters, blacks and Latinos feel most strongly about this,” Siena College pollster Steve Greenberg said. “Only majorities of Republicans and conservatives think people of color are treated fairly by our criminal justice system. Two-thirds of Democrats and a plurality of independents disagree, as do a majority of downstaters, particularly New York City, and people of color. Whites and upstaters are closely divided.”

Scheniderman this month requested Gov. Andrew Cuomo issue an executive order granting him the special prosecutors role.

So far, Cuomo has said he’s reviewing the request, but raised questions with how broad the scope of those investigative powers should be.

The poll found that 55 percent of New Yorkers believe the grand jury should have made an indictment in the case, which has set off a wave of protests across the country and sparked a discussion over criminal justice reform legislation at the state level.

Meanwhile, most New Yorkers 52 percent to 35 percent believe the state’s criminal justice system does not treat people of color fairly.

Broken down politically, Republican voters by a 2-to-1 margin believe the grand jury was correct in not indicting Garner.

“Similarly, large majorities of Democrats, New York City voters, blacks, Latinos and younger voters want the Feds to bring civil rights charges, while Republicans are opposed, and upstaters, suburbanites, white and older voters are closely divided,” Greenberg said.

Cuomo himself has suggested he will push for a variety of criminal justice reforms, including greater transparencies for grand juries as well as strengthening police training and requiring some officers to wear body cameras.

The governor’s administration this week moved to ban hydrofracking in the state, but the poll found New Yorkers remain divided on the natural gas drilling issue.

Thirty-eight percent of voters say they are opposed to fracking, while 35 percent of those polled back the drilling method.

“Fracking has closely divided New Yorkers for several years. And while it has the intuitive partisan divide with Democrats opposing and Republicans supporting, from a regional perspective the results might be a little counterintuitive as New York City and upstate voters narrowly oppose fracking and a plurality of downstate suburbanites support it,” Greenberg said.

Similarly, New Yorkers are split on the DREAM Act, which would provide tuition assistance to undocumented immigrants. Forty-four percent of New Yorkers back the measure, while 48 percent do not. Cuomo will likely once again be under pressure from liberals in the Legislature to include funding for the DREAM Act in his state budget proposal.

A broad majority of New Yorkers continue to support Cuomo’s two-year-old gun control law known as the SAFE Act, but they are split along partisan lines.

By a margin of 58 percent to 33 percent, New Yorkers back the law, which Cuomo has said remains a significant legislative achievement for him.

The measure has the support of 69 percent of Democrats and 57 percent of independents, 67 percent of voters from New York City and 61 percent from the downstate suburbs. Fifty-eight percent of Republicans oppose the law.

And not surprisingly, there is widespread opposition to a pay raise for state lawmakers: 63 percent of those polled do not believe the Senate and Assembly should receive their first salary increase since 1998.

That sentiment cuts across party, geographic, gender and ideological lines.

Cuomo has said he is sympathetic to lawmakers who are pushing for the pay hike from the current $79,500, but has sought to have them enact sweeping ethics and campaign finance legislation, including the creation of a system of public financed campaigns and curtailing outside income.

For now, there has been no significant move to have lawmakers return to Albany in a special session to take up that legislation and vote themselves a raise.

The Siena College of 639 voters was conducted from Dec. 11 through Dec. 16. It has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

SNY1214 Crosstabs by Nick Reisman

Siena: Republicans Still Lead In SD 46, SD 55; Near Tie in SD 41

Siena this morning released the results of its second and final pre-Election Day polls of three contested upstate state Senate races that could prove crucial in next week’s battle for control of the chamber.

The Republican challengers remain ahead in two of the races, and one has tightened to become a statistical dead heat, which means we should get ready for a long election night – possibly with some contests too close to call without a tally of the paper ballots.

The tightest contest is the 41st SD, which pits Democratic freshman Sen. Terry Gipson against Republican Dutchess County Legislator Sue Serino in the Hudson Valley.

In the last Siena poll, Gipson was trailing Serino by 12 percentage points. But in this poll, he has closed that gap, and is now within two percentage points of his challenger, who’s ahead 48-46 among likely voters with 5 percent undecided.

Gipson won a three-way race in 2012 with 44 percent of the vote. This year, he’s ahead with women voters by 17 percentage points after trailing in the last Siena poll by 7 points. She’s up with independents, though only by 9 percentage points, down from 26 points.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo and his GOP challenger, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino are running neck-and-neck in this district, 43-42, with Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins getting 11 percent of the vote.

Next up is another re-match – the Capital Region’s 46th SD race, which pits Democratic freshman Sen. Cecilia Tkaczyk against Republican former Assemblyman George Amedore.

Tkaczyk defeated Amedore in overtime in 2012, eventually winning by just 18 votes. This year, however, she’s trailing Amedore, 54-43, with 3 percent undecided.

There has been little movement in this race over the past month. Amedore’s lead in the last Siena poll was 52-42. He has grown his support among Democrats from 15 percent to 25 percent, and has maintained a strong lead among independents.

Tkaczyk continues to run virtually even in the Ulster/Greene portion of the district, but is trailing badly, now by 20 points, in the Albany/Montgomery/Schenectady portion of the district.

There is virtually no gender gap in this race between a Democratic woman and a Republican man, as Amedore leads with men by 14 points and he leads with women by nine points, according to Siena pollster Steve Greenberg.

This is one of those races where the Democratic candidate is not going to benefit from assistance from the governor, though he has endorsed Tkaczyk (via press release). Astorino is ahead in the 46th SD, leading Cuomo 46-38, with Hawkins getting 12 percent of the vote.

In the Rochester area 55th SD race, Democratic freshman Sen. Ted O’Brien has significantly closed the gap against his Republican challenger, Rich Funke, however, Funke has a 9-point, 51-42 lead in to the closing days of the campaign.

O’Brien has mounted a major charge and it appears the momentum is on his side. He has cut his deficit from a seemingly insurmountable 25 percentage points in Siena’s last poll to single digits, Greenberg said. He has done so by bringing Democrats home and wooing independents.

Cuomo is leading Astorino, 45-39, in the 55th SD, with Hawkins garnering 10 percent of the vote. Cuomo has endorsed O’Brien, via press release, as part of his Women’s Equality bus tour.

Funke continues to have a far stronger favorability rating than O’Brien, although 39 percent of voters now view him unfavorably – up from 23 percent. While 57 percent of voters view Funke favorably, only 44 percent view O’Brien favorably, and 48 percent view him unfavorably.

Naturally, both the Democrats and the Republicans have something to say about these polls, with each putting the best possible spin on things as the campaign enters its final days.

At this point, it’s all about GOTV and turning out the base, with each party making a last-minute push to get its voters to the polls.

“This latest snapshot clearly shows that momentum is moving in our direction,” said the Senate Democrats’ spokesman, Mike Murphy.

“By Election Day, our campaigns will have knocked on over 750,000 doors and made over 400,000 calls in an unprecedented effort to communicate directly with voters.”

“The paid media campaign that began a month ago, in the face of unprecedented spending on behalf of our right wing extremist opponents, is resonating because we are talking about the issue voters care about and an agenda that will move this state forward. Our candidates will be victorious on Election Day.”

Meanwhile, Senate GOP Leader Dean Skelos said the polls show his conference is “on the cusp of flipping three seats currently held by Democrats and cementing a clear majority in the New York State Senate.”

“That’s good news for hardworking taxpayers who want their state representatives to deliver additional tax relief, partner with the private sector to create new jobs and better opportunities, and make New York more affordable for everyone,” Skelos continued.

“New Yorkers want bipartisanship and balance, not an entire state government controlled by liberal Democrats from New York City.”

“They don’t want higher taxes or the chaos and dysfunction we saw with one-party rule in 2009-10. And, they don’t want illegal immigrants getting free college tuition while middle-class families get nothing but student loans that will take them years to repay.”

“Our priorities are the people’s priorities, and the people know we will produce real economic progress in the next two years and make this state a better place to live and work. The New York City-dominated Senate Democrats and their chief ally New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio will only take us backward.”

The crosstabs for all three polls appear after the jump.

More >

Marist Poll: Cuomo Leads Astorino Upstate, Suburbs

A Marist College/Wall Street Journal/NBC4 poll released this morning found Gov. Andrew Cuomo maintaining a wide lead over his Republican challenger Rob Astorino four days before voters cast their ballots.

Cuomo leads Astorino 56 percent to 30 percent, with Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins receiving 6 percent.

The poll also found Cuomo with leads in different regions of the state.

Unsurprisingly, Cuomo is pounding Astorino in New York City, where he leads 72 percent to 13 percent.

But more problematic for Astorino is the governor doing well in suburban counties as well as upstate.

The poll found Cuomo leading in the suburbs 57 percent to 37 percent, and winning upstate by a more narrow margin, 46 percent to 37 percent.

Cuomo, who has focused heavily on women’s issues this election season, is beating Astorino among female voters 65 percent to 22 percent. With male voters, it’s a somewhat closer race: 47 percent for Cuomo, 38 percent for Astorino.

Both candidates today are campaigning upstate. Cuomo is taking a tour of cities Rochester and Syracuse, while Astorino is traveling through Binghamton, Elmira and Plattsburgh.

The poll of 1,042 adults was conducted from Oct. 26 through Oct. 28. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

TWC News/Siena College Poll: NY-18 Tightens

The rematch for the 18th congressional district in the Hudson Valley between incumbent Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney and Republican former Rep. Nan Hayworth is expected to be a close one.

An exclusive Time Warner Cable News/Siena College poll shows Maloney leading Hayworth by 5 percentage points in the final days before Election Day.

The poll found Maloney with 49 percent of the vote to Hayworth’s 44 percent of the vote.

In September, Maloney had a more comfortable cushion, 50 percent to 42 percent.

Despite Maloney’s endorsements from GOP state lawmakers — including state Sens. Bill Larkin and Greg Ball — Hayworth is gaining in support from Republican voters.

Hayworth receives support from 73 percent of registered Republicans, with 19 percent backing Maloney. Among Democrats, Maloney leads 83 percent to 12 percent. The two are narrowly divided on independent voters, with 46 percent breaking for Maloney with 47 percent supporting Hayworth.

Meanwhile, the race for governor is tightening in the 18th congressional district as well. Governor Andrew Cuomo last month lead Republican Rob Astorino by 5 percentage points. Now, the two are in a virtual dead heat, though Astorino continues to suffer from a high unfavorable rating.

The poll found Cuomo with 44 percent of the vote, compared to 43 percent for Astorino. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins receives 8 percent of the vote.

The poll of 682 likely voters has a margin of error of three point eight percentage points. It was conducted from Oct. 24 through Oct. 27.

CD181014 Crosstabs by Nick Reisman

Poll Shows Stefanik Lead Growing

Republican congressional hopeful Elise Stefanik extended her lead from last month over Democratic opponent Aaron Woolf in the 21st congressional district, according to a Harper Polling survey.

The poll, conducted by Harper Polling, found Stefanik leading Woolf 47 percent to 33 percent, with Green Party candidate Matt Funiciello receiving 14 percent of the vote. Funiciello is gaining with registered Democrats, where he receives 14 percent of their support, up from 7 percent last month.

Meanwhile, the poll found Stefanik has a 54 percent favorable rating, compared to a 38 percent unfavorable rating.

A Siena College poll released earlier this week showed Stefanik leading Woolf 50 percent to 33 percent, with Funiciello receiving 11 percent of the overall vote.

The 21st congressional district is currently represented by Democrat Bill Owens, who is retiring at the end of the year.

HP 14 10 NY 21 Memo.pdf by Nick Reisman